Waiting for the Break

DAILY MARKET OVERVIEW

Between Support and Resistance

👋 Hey, Crypto Enthusiasts! With big U.S. data dropping this week and Bitcoin stuck in a wide range, let’s take a look at where things stand.

📆 This week has the potential to be more volatile than usual. We’re getting key U.S. data on inflation, jobs, and consumer spending, plus several Federal Reserve speeches.

When that much news is packed into a few days, markets often move faster and change direction more easily. The main themes right now are simple: stocks are still trending up, while Bitcoin is stuck moving sideways.

Bitcoin has not picked a clear direction since dropping from its highs. Buyers keep stepping in around the mid-$80,000s, and sellers keep appearing between roughly $95,000 and $100,000. Because of this, the most likely outcome is more back-and-forth between about $85k and $100k.

If Bitcoin can break above $100,000 and stay there, that would be a strong sign of a new push higher. If it moves into that zone and gets rejected, it likely drifts back toward the mid-$80k area again. The middle of this range is noisy and difficult, so patience is key until price clearly escapes the box.

📈 Stocks look healthier than crypto right now. The S&P 500 recently made new highs, which means the bigger trend is still upward. Some short-term pullbacks are normal and wouldn’t change the overall picture. Only a deeper drop that fails to bounce would start to signal real trouble.

Tech stocks have lagged slightly but are still holding together, and as long as they don’t break down sharply, the broader stock market outlook stays positive.

Putting it all together: stocks lean bullish but may be choppy this week because of heavy news flow.

⚖️ Bitcoin stays neutral and range-bound until it clearly breaks above resistance or below support. With so many important events ahead, expect faster moves, fakeouts, and sudden reversals. Keep risk under control, don’t chase every move, and let the market show direction before committing strongly.

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SOCIAL SENTIMENT

The $100k Push?

With Core CPI coming in softer than expected today and BTC making lower highs since November, Bitcoin once again has a chance to retest the $100k level.

If that level is tested and holds, we could see increased activity in altcoins as well.

• For those holding short positions, be cautious of sudden rallies, often driven by short squeezes, which are likely to appear if conditions improve, similar to what we’re already seeing in some meme coins like Bonk and Pepe.

Our short term strategy is to avoid FOMO. We remain focused on the longer term outlook, where Ethereum and Chainlink are still our top picks.

Given how choppy recent price action has been, we don’t see much value in trying to trade the short term moves right now.

NEWS OVERVIEW

The Latest Crypto Headlines 📰 

21Shares Launches Bitcoin + Gold ETP in the UK
A new LSE-listed product blends Bitcoin and gold, rebalancing monthly to favor the more stable asset, as UK retail access to crypto ETPs continues to expand.

Grayscale Adds AI, DeFi and Consumer Tokens to Watchlist
Grayscale updated its review list to 27 tokens across AI, DeFi, and consumer sectors, signaling where future investment products could go, but with no guarantees.

World Liberty Enters Crypto Lending as USD1 Nears $3.5B
Trump-backed World Liberty launched a lending platform using USD1 and major collateral assets, stepping into a rebounding crypto credit market while facing growing scrutiny.

ZKsync Targets Real-World Adoption in 2026 Roadmap
ZKsync says 2026 is about institutional scale, expanding Prividium, ZK Stack, and Airbender, with a focus on privacy, compliance-ready infrastructure, and big partnerships.

YOUTUBE INFLUENCER SUMMARY

Summary From The Top Influencers 📷️ 

Benjamin Cowen – A Line Has Been Crossed (13.01.2026 Summary)

In this video, Benjamin Cowen explains why the investigation involving Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell marks a serious shift, not just politically, but for how markets may interpret future monetary policy.

What he’s saying

• A criminal investigation tied to Jerome Powell is unprecedented and signals that political pressure on the Federal Reserve has escalated

• Cowen believes the official renovation explanation is secondary, the real issue is disagreement over interest rate policy

• He argues this challenges the long-standing perception of Fed independence, even if the Fed has always faced political influence

• The administration wants rates lowered faster as unemployment rises, while Powell remains cautious due to inflation risks

• Markets still expect no near-term rate cuts, suggesting investors believe the Fed will resist pressure for now

• Cowen thinks this situation may actually make the Fed less likely to cut rates, as doing so now could appear politically motivated

Takeaway

Cowen’s view is that a clear line has been crossed. Even if rates eventually fall, the growing conflict introduces uncertainty, and markets tend to react poorly when confidence in central bank independence starts to erode.

Paul Barron – Banks Using Propaganda to Kill Crypto Freedom! (13.01.2026 Summary)

In this video, Paul Barron argues that the final stages of the CLARITY Act could determine whether crypto remains an open system or becomes dominated by banks and large institutions.

What he’s saying

• The CLARITY Act is entering a critical phase, with Senate markups expected within days, making this a decisive moment for crypto regulation

• Barron claims banks and aligned advocacy groups are running coordinated media campaigns to weaken DeFi protections while pretending to support “market clarity”

• A new group, Investors for Transparency, is running prime-time ads urging lawmakers to oppose DeFi provisions, despite unclear funding and leadership

• He believes this mirrors past attempts to derail crypto legislation through opaque lobbying and regulatory capture

• One key battleground is yield, proposals could ban passive yield from intermediaries, setting a precedent that may later target staking and lending

• Barron warns that compromising on DeFi protections could benefit banks and incumbents while undermining self-custody, innovation, and user freedom

• He argues that a bad bill passing is worse than no bill at all, as it could lock in restrictive rules for years

Takeaway

Barron’s core message is urgent: crypto freedom is at risk if regulation is shaped by bank interests rather than users. He calls on the community to act now, support self-custody, and push lawmakers to protect DeFi, interoperability, and open markets before it’s too late.

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