Caution Over Conviction

DAILY MARKET OVERVIEW

No Rush

👋 Hey, Crypto Enthusiasts! The market remains difficult, and crypto is still lacking a strong direction.

From a macro perspective, inflation is cooling, but interest rate cuts are not expected until mid-year, keeping liquidity conditions tight. Recent price action has also been headline-driven, with Bitcoin reclaiming $90,000 after Donald Trump stated he would pause new tariffs on several EU countries tied to discussions around Greenland.

However, BTC fell below $90k yet again, fairly quickly after the PCE data, which showed no surprises.

With key events such as the upcoming FOMC meeting next week, uncertainty is likely to remain elevated and short-term volatility should be expected.

Bitcoin is currently at an important decision area. Price is attempting to hold structure, but recent rallies have been weak and often fail quickly.

• A key warning sign is that heavy buying such as that from Strategy & ETFs has not been able to push price higher. In a healthy market, strong demand should lead to upward movement. When price stalls instead, it usually means sellers are absorbing that demand.

This often results in trapped buyers. Participants enter expecting continuation higher, but price fails to follow through. Once buying pressure fades and those buyers realize the move has failed, they tend to exit at the same time. With little support beneath price, this can lead to fast and sharp pullbacks as positions unwind.

📉 Altcoins continue to underperform. While Bitcoin dominance has not decisively broken higher, most altcoins remain in downtrends. Recovery attempts are being rejected, and when the market moves lower, altcoins generally decline faster than Bitcoin. This keeps overall risk elevated.

Stablecoin issuance has also slowed, suggesting that less new capital is entering the crypto market. Regulatory developments around market structure and stablecoins could become positive catalysts over time, but they are not currently influencing price action.

🧘 The overall message is patience. If exposure is necessary, Bitcoin remains the safest option, followed by higher quality large caps such as Ethereum and Solana. Most smaller altcoins continue to offer poor risk to reward in the current environment.

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SOCIAL SENTIMENT

Frustration

Market sentiment around altcoins is increasingly cautious.

Many traders are frustrated because the same pattern keeps repeating: a bullish setup appears, it fails, and price sells off harder. Low-timeframe patterns are especially unreliable, creating noise and false hope.

The shared mindset right now:

• It’s too early to bet on an altcoin rotation

• Risk is still skewed to the downside

• Discipline matters more than activity

Instead of asking “What can I buy?”, traders are asking better questions:

• Where is my invalidation?

• What happens if support breaks?

• Am I trading because there’s an edge or because I’m bored?

Some traders are even stepping away from crypto entirely in the short term and looking at cleaner trends elsewhere.

The takeaway: there is no urgency. This is a time to wait, protect capital, and stay emotionally neutral. When conditions improve, opportunities will be clearer and easier to act on.

Sometimes the smartest move is doing nothing.

NEWS OVERVIEW

The Latest Crypto Headlines 📰 

US Crypto Market Structure Bill Faces Further Delays
US lawmakers are expected to delay crypto market structure legislation as attention shifts to housing policy, extending uncertainty around stablecoin and market oversight rules.

Tokenized Assets Could Top $11 Trillion by 2030, Ark Says
Ark Invest forecasts explosive growth in tokenized assets, driven by onchain equities, deposits, and stronger institutional infrastructure over the next five years.

Iran Accumulated Over $500M in USDT to Bypass Sanctions
Elliptic says Iran’s central bank used USDT to support its currency and settle trade outside the traditional global banking system.

Thailand Plans Crypto ETFs and Futures Under New Rules
Thailand’s securities regulator plans to introduce crypto ETFs and futures trading this year, aiming to expand regulated investor access while strengthening oversight.

YOUTUBE INFLUENCER SUMMARY

Summary From The Top Influencers 📷️ 

Benjamin Cowen – Gold and the Rotation Trap (22.01.2026 Summary)

Benjamin Cowen explains why gold’s surge is a warning sign for risk assets, and why waiting for a clean “rotation” from gold into stocks or crypto is often a costly mistake.

Key Points

• Gold breaking to new highs usually signals stress building in risk assets

• Historically, when gold rallies hard, stocks and crypto tend to weaken, not strengthen

• Many investors expect a smooth rotation, sell gold, and buy risk assets too early

• Cowen compares this to Bitcoin and altcoins, Bitcoin went up, but altcoins quietly kept falling

• Bitcoin masked weakness in altcoins, just like strong stocks can mask weakness vs gold

• The S&P 500 is now breaking down against gold, a level that mattered in the 1970s and 2008

• When this breakdown happened before, stocks didn’t rally, they fell later

• Gold corrections do not automatically mean stocks or crypto bottom

• In midterm years, gold and stocks often bottom around the same time, not one after the other

• Selling winners to buy losers assumes perfect timing, which rarely works

Takeaway

Cowen’s message is simple: don’t assume gold topping means risk assets are safe. History shows that gold, stocks, and crypto often struggle together before a real bottom forms. Chasing rotations too early is how investors repeatedly get trapped.

Altcoin Daily – President Trump Signals Crypto Will Explode at WEF Davos 2026 (22.01.2026 Summary)

At the World Economic Forum in Davos 2026, crypto took center stage. President Trump, top regulators, bank executives, and crypto leaders all sent a clear message, crypto is no longer optional, and the US wants to lead.

Key Points

• President Trump openly signaled support for crypto and said he wants the US to remain the crypto capital of the world

• Trump confirmed he wants to sign the Clarity Act to prevent China from dominating crypto and digital finance

• Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong framed Bitcoin as a new monetary standard, similar to gold, but fully decentralized

• The debate over stablecoin yield is the main blocker for market structure legislation

• Banks are pushing back on yield, while crypto firms see it as essential to competition

• Trump’s advisors suggest compromise is coming, no bill is better than a bad bill, but regulation is inevitable

• Once market structure passes, banks are expected to fully enter crypto, merging TradFi and crypto into one industry

• Big players like BlackRock openly support tokenization of stocks and bonds, calling it cheaper, faster, and more transparent

• Bitcoin pulled back short term, but long-term adoption and political support continue to grow

Takeaway

The Davos message was clear, crypto isn’t being shut down, it’s being integrated. Regulation is coming, compromises will be made, and short-term volatility remains, but political momentum, institutional interest, and tokenization point to crypto becoming a core part of the global financial system.

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