BTC Pumps (and Dumps Again)

22.10.2025 Volatility is increasing with important macro events on the horizon

DAILY MARKET OVERVIEW

Market Chop

👋 Hey, Crypto Enthusiasts! The tides are shifting fast - let’s unpack what just happened.

🪙 Yesterday gold had its biggest one-day drop in about ten years - roughly 6%. For something that usually moves slower than a snail, that’s a big deal.

  • A big chunk of leveraged positions likely got wiped out as stop levels were taken out. The selloff was mostly momentum-driven, triggered by profit-taking after months of relentless gains.

  • Fundamentally, gold still looks fine long term - this just looks like a deep breath after a vertical climb.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin initially caught a strong bid as capital rotated out of gold. That inverse correlation - gold down, BTC up - flashed again for a few hours.

But the move faded fast after Trump announced he may not meet with President Xi and plans to raise tariffs on China to 150%. Those comments sparked a quick risk-off shift, sending BTC right back down, fully retracing its earlier rally.

📰 Macro traders are watching a loaded week ahead - CPI data on Friday, the FOMC rate statement next week, and lingering uncertainty around US-China relations, so volatility stays elevated.

It’s time to preserve capital and wait for the next clean setup. In choppy conditions, patience and cash is a position.

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SOCIAL SENTIMENT

Sentiment Split

Trader sentiment is scattered, with conviction levels being tested after the sharp swings.

Bullish factors:

  • Gold cooling off may redirect capital into BTC

  • Ongoing rate-cut expectations support the risk-on narrative

Bearish factors:

  • Slower buying from MicroStrategy and Altcoin Treasuries

  • Market confidence dented after the liquidation wave

  • Strength in the dollar index could pressure crypto prices

  • Four-year cycle nearing its timing window, historically a choppy phase

Analysts are far from aligned. Cointrader Nik remains optimistic, calling for BTC to reach $188K by January if macro conditions stabilize. Others argue the market could revisit below $100K before forming a durable base.

The $106K level remains key. Holding above keeps the structure intact. A clean break below could open the door to a deeper correction.

We’re staying flexible and patient, focusing on capital preservation until the next high-conviction move reveals itself. In markets like this, survival equals opportunity.

NEWS OVERVIEW

The Latest Crypto Headlines 📰 

Senator Warren Criticizes New Stablecoin Law
Elizabeth Warren slammed the GENIUS Act as too weak, urging the Treasury to fix Trump-linked conflicts and tighten stablecoin oversight.

Hong Kong Approves First Spot Solana ETF
ChinaAMC’s Solana ETF will start trading on October 27, marking Hong Kong’s first approved spot Solana investment product.

Ethereum Foundation Transfers $654 Million in ETH
The Ethereum Foundation moved 160,000 ETH amid scrutiny, saying the transfer was part of a planned wallet migration, not a sell-off.

Tether Reaches 500 Million Users Worldwide
Tether hit 500 million users and nearly $182 billion in USDT supply, with plans to launch a new U.S.-focused stablecoin called USAT.

YOUTUBE INFLUENCER SUMMARY

Summary From The Top Influencers 📷️ 

Benjamin Cowen – Bitcoin Dominance: The Final Rotation Continues (22.10.2025 Summary)

Benjamin Cowen revisits his long-standing thesis on Bitcoin dominance and argues that the final rotation is already underway. Despite market disbelief and pushback from altcoin advocates, Cowen maintains that Bitcoin dominance is rising and warns investors to stop ignoring the signs.

Key Points

  • Bitcoin Dominance Is Already Rising
    Cowen emphasizes that Bitcoin dominance has been increasing for six straight weeks, confirming his forecast that September would mark the bottom. Though the pace feels slow to some, the trend is clear.

  • 60% Threshold Is Key
    Cowen believes that once Bitcoin dominance decisively breaks above 60% again, it will accelerate upward. The recent wick above that level was a warning shot.

  • Altcoins Continue to Bleed
    Bitcoin pairs for most altcoins are making new lows, validating Cowen’s view that altcoins are losing ground in BTC terms. He expects more downside, especially through October.

  • Criticism and Market Denial
    Cowen pushes back on influencers who continue to promise alt seasons despite evidence to the contrary. He criticizes those who promote micro-cap tokens but play the victim when those bets collapse.

  • Importance of Timing with Alts
    For high-risk altcoins, timing matters. Many investors now require a new alt season just to break even on BTC terms. Cowen warns that this dynamic played out similarly in previous cycles and is repeating again.

  • Bitcoin Is the Anchor
    He closes with a reminder: if Bitcoin fails, the entire altcoin market will collapse too. Liquidity is consolidating into Bitcoin, and investors should take note of that structural shift.

Final Takeaway

Cowen’s message is blunt: stop hoping for an altcoin reversal and accept that Bitcoin is reclaiming dominance. While altcoins may bounce briefly, the larger trend favors BTC. Those ignoring this rotation risk repeating painful mistakes from past cycles.

Altcoin Daily – The Fed BAILS OUT Crypto Holders - “This Is A New Era” (22.10.2025 Summary)

Altcoin Daily breaks down the Federal Reserve’s first-ever crypto conference, framing it as a historic shift in how crypto integrates with the traditional financial system. From Ethereum and Chainlink to regulated DeFi, this event signals institutional acceptance of blockchain infrastructure.

Key Points

  • The Fed Hosts a Crypto Conference
    The Federal Reserve held its first crypto and payments innovation conference, signaling a shift from suspicion to acceptance of DeFi and blockchain in mainstream finance.

  • Bitcoin as Digital Gold
    A Fed governor reaffirmed his stance that Bitcoin is a store of value, comparing it to electronic gold.

  • Ethereum, Chainlink, Solana Highlighted
    Major figures from BlackRock, JP Morgan, Chainlink (Sergey Nazarov), and Fireblocks took part, showing institutional focus on Ethereum-based protocols and infrastructure.

  • Regulated DeFi Is Coming
    Sergey Nazarov outlined how traditional finance can integrate with DeFi using smart contracts for compliance, cross-chain transactions, and on-chain data standards. The concept of “regulated DeFi” is becoming a reality.

  • Fed Proposes Direct Access to Payment Rails
    A proposed “skinny master account” would allow crypto banks and stablecoin issuers to bypass traditional banks and access Fed systems directly, potentially reshaping U.S. banking.

  • Altcoin Cycle Outlook
    Altcoin Daily argues that money will flow from Bitcoin to Ethereum to blue-chip altcoins like Solana, Chainlink, and Avalanche as regulatory clarity improves.

Final Takeaway

This isn’t just another market narrative - it’s the beginning of institutional crypto adoption. As TradFi merges with blockchain infrastructure, expect money to flow into compliant, blue-chip assets. The Fed’s involvement marks a turning point for crypto’s legitimacy.

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The information provided in this newsletter is for general informational and educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Please consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized advice that considers your individual financial situation and goals.