DAILY MARKET OVERVIEW
Important Macro Data Ahead
👋 Hey, Crypto Enthusiasts! There’s a lot happening this week so let’s dive right in!
This week could be a turning point for markets. Four central banks – the Fed, ECB, Bank of Japan, and Bank of Canada – are announcing rate decisions, plus a Trump–Xi meeting and key US PCE inflation data on Friday.
That’s a lot of potential catalysts in just a few days, and volatility is almost guaranteed. When global markets move, crypto rarely sits still.
🟠 Bitcoin: Pushing Against the Ceiling
Bitcoin’s holding around $114k, after bouncing cleanly from $107k last week. That support has proven strong, but BTC now faces heavy resistance at $116k.
A weekly close above $116k would flip that zone into support and likely send BTC higher, with a possible run at all-time highs near $133k in November. If it fails and closes back below $114.5k, a dip toward $107k becomes likely.
In short: the trend remains bullish, but confirmation is key. The breakout has to hold above $116k to trigger the next leg higher.
🤫 Ethereum: Building Quiet Strength
Ethereum is sitting near $4,100. That level used to be major resistance – now it’s the line that keeps the uptrend alive.
A close above $4,400 would confirm a breakout and open the door to $5,000 in the coming weeks. As long as ETH stays above $4,000, the structure looks healthy. Momentum is improving, and ETH could soon start leading the market again.
🏹 Altcoins: Flat but Loading
Altcoins remain quiet after the early-October flush. This phase often comes before they recover, as liquidity usually moves from BTC to ETH and then to alts. Watch ETH/BTC 0.038 – a breakout there would likely trigger the next rotation.
The Bottom Line
Crypto’s at a critical juncture:
BTC above $116k = breakout confirmed.
ETH above $4,400 = momentum shifts toward ETH and alts.
Macro easing = fresh fuel for risk assets.
The market’s coiled tight. Bitcoin and Ethereum are leading, altcoins are recharging, and this week’s macro fireworks could decide which direction the breakout goes.
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SOCIAL SENTIMENT
Current Sentiment
Market sentiment is gradually shifting from fear toward a more neutral outlook.
ETFs are also reflecting this stance, showing modest inflows for BTC and ETH.
What we’re really watching now is how sentiment evolves after this eventful week and how traders respond.
⁉️ At this stage, both scenarios remain in play:
1. One last push: Depending on how this week unfolds, there’s still potential for another leg up in crypto, with BTC needing to break into new all-time highs. Once that happens, altcoins could follow.
2. End of the cycle: There’s also the possibility that we’re nearing the top of the current cycle, and if macro data disappoints, the market could start to gradually grind lower.
It’s difficult to say which outcome will play out, but we should stay alert to both possibilities. This week’s developments should offer clearer direction.
NEWS OVERVIEW
The Latest Crypto Headlines 📰
Truth Social Enters Prediction Markets
Trump’s Truth Social teams up with Crypto.com to launch “Truth Predict,” letting users trade on real-world events.
Circle Unveils Arc Blockchain Testnet
Circle launched the Arc Layer 1 testnet with over 100 major partners, including BlackRock, Visa, and AWS.
Bitwise to Launch Solana Staking ETF
Bitwise will debut the first Solana staking ETF (BSOL) on the NYSE, offering direct exposure to spot SOL.
Canary Capital Launches Litecoin and HBAR ETFs
Canary Capital will debut the first U.S. ETFs for Litecoin and HBAR on Nasdaq, expanding crypto access for investors.
YOUTUBE INFLUENCER SUMMARY
Summary From The Top Influencers 📷️
Ivan On Tech – BITCOIN: REJECTED AGAIN WTF! (28.10.2025 Summary)
Ivan discusses Bitcoin’s latest rejection at the 0.5 Fibonacci resistance, emphasizing the importance of maintaining bullish momentum this late in the four-year cycle. With the Fed’s rate decision looming, he sees this week as critical for Bitcoin’s next move.
Ivan’s Outlook – Key Points
Rejected at Key Resistance – Bitcoin got rejected at the 0.5 fib level after a strong daily bull trend. Consolidation is underway.
Q4 Must Deliver – Ivan stresses that Q4 typically brings bullish action for Bitcoin. A rollover here could break that trend.
Fed Meeting is Critical – The Fed’s rate decision and Powell’s comments will be a key catalyst for risk assets this week.
Macro Heat Map Still Yellow – Ivan’s macro model, based on interest rates and Fed balance sheet, shows we’re still in neutral territory. True green macro conditions (like 2020–21) could push Bitcoin to $1M by 2028.
EU and Germany in Trouble – He predicts the EU will be forced to print massively, as Germany and France face mounting economic issues.
MicroStrategy Rated “Stable Junk” – S&P gave MicroStrategy a junk bond rating but with a stable outlook. Ivan sees this as volatility-related, not insolvency-related.
30% Portfolio Derisked – Ivan has taken 30% out of the market since October 8, citing four-year cycle risks. The remaining 70% stays active for upside potential.
Altcoin Warning – He urges caution on altcoins, especially those without strong bullish trends or sufficient liquidity.
Final Takeaway
Ivan is cautiously positioned. While Bitcoin is still in a bullish trend, this rejection at resistance and the upcoming Fed decision will determine whether momentum continues or stalls. He’s not all-in or all-out, but strategically balanced to handle both outcomes in the late stage of the cycle.
Lark Davis – Smart Money Is Watching This Before Buying Bitcoin (28.10.2025 Summary)
Lark explains why the recent drop in bond yields may be the biggest signal yet for a coming crypto bull run. While Bitcoin hovers around $115K and altcoins struggle, smart money is watching the bond market, which could be the trigger for liquidity to pour back into crypto.
Lark’s Outlook – Key Points
Bond Yields Are Falling – The 2-year US Treasury yield has been trending lower all year, signaling expected Fed rate cuts ahead.
Falling Yields = Risk-On Environment – As yields drop, investors move away from bonds into higher-risk assets like stocks and crypto.
Liquidity Is Key – When yields top out, it marks a major shift in market sentiment and liquidity begins flowing into risk assets.
1990s Playbook Returns – Lark draws parallels to the mid-90s, when rate cuts fueled a massive stock rally. Crypto could see the same now.
Fed May Cut Three Times – Analysts expect rate cuts in the next three meetings, especially after cooler-than-expected inflation data.
QT Ending Adds Fuel – With the Fed expected to end quantitative tightening (QT), more liquidity may enter the system.
Crypto Still Has Room to Run – Despite three failed attempts to break $130K, Bitcoin has held strong. Altcoins are lagging, but the setup is still intact.
Pain Before the Pump – Lark compares the waiting game in crypto to cold pizza delivery: it sucks, but the pizza still arrives. Same for the bull market.
Final Takeaway
Lark remains bullish. Bond yields are dropping, rate cuts are coming, and the Fed is set to ease up. All signs point to a major liquidity shift that could finally ignite the next big crypto leg. He urges viewers to stay patient - the real fireworks may just be about to begin.
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The information provided in this newsletter is for general informational and educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Please consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized advice that considers your individual financial situation and goals.